Wednesday, September 9, 2026

Musk is dangerous

 

While presenting his Musk documentary, Alex Gibney said Elon Musk is extremely dangerous. He’s not wrong. Yes, Elon Musk is dangerous. - Elon Musk is dangerous to the woke machine. - Elon Musk is dangerous for bureaucrats. - Elon Musk is dangerous for fraudsters. - Elon Musk is dangerous to censorship. - Elon Musk is dangerous to media gatekeepers. - Elon Musk is dangerous to political propagandists. - Elon Musk is dangerous to elites who think ordinary people should stay quiet. - Elon Musk is dangerous to corruption. - Elon Musk is dangerous to legacy media. - Elon Musk is dangerous to the EU censorship regime. - Elon Musk is dangerous to people who want to criminalize memes. Elon Musk is not dangerous to democracy. He is dangerous to the people who think they own it.


Tuesday, September 8, 2026

Patel hotels

 

Yes, a lot of motels are owned by Mr. Patel. Here’s why. Pull off an Interstate after midnight and the neon still works the same way it did in 1974. VACANCY. COLOR TV. WEEKLY RATES. Behind the glass, more often than not, is a family from Gujarat. That is not folklore. Indian Americans are about one percent of the U.S. population. Members of the Asian American Hotel Owners Association — overwhelmingly Indian-origin, and heavily Gujarati — own about 60 percent of the country’s hotels, some 36,800 properties. A large share of those owners are named Patel. In small-town and roadside America the concentration is higher still. The usual explanation is hard work. Hard work was required. It was not the secret. The secret was a Gujarati idea of business called *dhandho*: the pursuit of asymmetric risk. The street translation is simply “business.” The operating mantra, later popularized by investor Mohnish Pabrai in The Dhandho Investor, is sharper: “Heads, I win; tails, I don’t lose much.” In the 1970s, penniless Gujarati families used that rule to buy distressed roadside motels when almost nobody else wanted them. They did not invent a new industry. They occupied a dying one at the exact moment the price of failure collapsedThe unglamorous empire The story did not begin in a boardroom. It began with men who could not afford a separate house. The first Gujarati hotelier in the United States is generally identified as Kanji Manchhu Desai. In 1942, Desai and two fellow Gujarati farmworkers took over a 32-room hotel in Sacramento after its Japanese-American owner was forced into a wartime internment camp. Desai later ran San Francisco’s Goldfield Hotel and treated it as a landing pad: incoming Gujaratis got a bed, a job, and a lecture. The lecture was simple. Lease a hotel. Live in it. Save. Buy the next one. The Immigration and Nationality Act of 1965 opened the tap. Then came a second shock. In 1972 Idi Amin expelled Uganda’s Asian minority — many of them Gujarati traders — and gave them 90 days to leave. Some of those families reached America with almost nothing. At the same time, the U.S. motel industry was rotting in public. The interstate system had rerouted traffic. The 1970s recession hammered occupancy. Independent owners wanted out. Banks would finance the buildings. Almost nobody wanted to live in them. That combination — cheap buildings, willing lenders, and families willing to sleep in the back office — was the Dhandho setup. How the bet was structured Pabrai’s version of “Papa Patel” is the cleanest telling of the math, and it matches what thousands of families actually did. A rundown 20- or 40-room motel could be bought with a tiny down payment. The bank or the seller carried the rest. The family moved in. Husband on the night desk. Wife on housekeeping and books. Children after school. Labor cost: nearly zero. Housing cost: nearly zero. If a room went empty, that was an empty room in the building where they already lived, not a catastrophe. Downside: lose the small down payment. The bank takes the keys. The family takes jobs, saves again, and tries once more. Upside: cash flow from a property they barely capitalized, plus the ability to undercut every competitor who was paying clerks, managers, and a separate mortgage on a house across town. Profits were not spent on lifestyle. They were used as the down payment on the next motel, often staffed by a cousin or a newly arrived relative. That is not a cartel. It is compounding with a very small numerator of risk. Charlie Munger, who did not romanticize much, put the competitive reality in one paragraph: the Patels live in the motel, fix it with every spare dime, and buy another. “Do you want to compete with the Patels? Not I.”

https://x.com/BrianRoemmele/status/2097124496759271739?s=20


2 of 2 By the late 1990s the New York Times was asking, only half-jokingly, whether there was a “Patel Motel Cartel.” There wasn’t an organization with a charter. There was a repeated playbook, kinship credit, and a trade association — AAHOA, founded in 1989 after Indian owners ran into insurance and lending discrimination — that later professionalized the whole niche. Today those properties support millions of jobs and contribute hundreds of billions of dollars to U.S. GDP. The roadside inn became a franchise Hampton, a Courtyard, sometimes a Hilton. The surname on the loan documents often stayed the same. What Dhandho actually is Dhandho is not “take big risks.” It is the opposite. It is the hunt for investments where the upside is large and the downside is mathematically small. Risk, in this language, is the chance of permanent capital loss. Uncertainty is merely fog about the future. Markets hate fog. They mark down assets when the story is ugly even if bankruptcy is unlikely. A Dhandho buyer wants high uncertainty and low risk: a motel nobody wanted to talk about, in a year everyone thought hospitality was finished, financed mostly with other people’s money, operated by people who had already accepted a life with no weekends. If the occupancy numbers worked even modestly, the return on the family’s tiny equity was enormous. If they didn’t, the loss was a few thousand dollars and a move. Serial bets with that payoff are how a community with almost no starting capital ends up owning half an industry. The five rules that drop out of the motel story are blunt: 1. Buy existing businesses in simple industries. Dhandho practitioners do not fund startups. They prefer slow, unglamorous trades — roadside lodging, bricks, commodities — where the variables are known and the customer already exists. 2. Seek distress. The best time to buy is during a panic. Distressed assets are how you purchase a margin of safety. The Patels did not wait for a “healthy” motel market. They waited for sellers who needed the money more than they needed the building. 3. Exploit a structural spread. The Patels’ spread was labor. Family work drove costs below what corporate operators could match. In markets, the equivalent is any inefficiency that pays you a spread before you need to be a genius. 4. Separate risk from uncertainty. A cloudy forecast is not the same thing as a high chance of ruin. When the two get confused, prices fall. That is the opening. 5. Bet heavily when the odds are overwhelming — and almost never otherwise. Dhandho investors make few moves. When downside is near zero and upside is large, they put real capital to work. They do not drip money into mediocre ideas to stay busy. The part people miss The motel empire looks, from the highway, like a story about immigrants and grit. It is that. It is also a demonstration that immense wealth does not require heroic risk-taking. It requires an obsessive habit of subtracting risk before the first dollar goes out. Live where you work and housing expense disappears. Staff the desk with family and payroll disappears. Buy when the seller is desperate and purchase price compresses. Finance most of the asset and equity at risk shrinks. Reinvest the cash and the next down payment is earned, not borrowed from hope. Heads, a chain of properties. Tails, a small check you can earn back. That is why so many of the signs still belong to Mr. Patel. Not because Gujaratis discovered a hidden love of thin towels and ice machines. Because a group of people with almost no capital found a business where the worst case was survivable and the best case compounded for fifty years. The neon was never the point. The payoff table was.

Education in El Salvador vs New York

 

https://x.com/nayibbukele/status/2096255497410118075?s=20

“Results in reading, mathematics and science were above the national average and comparable to the average results in Germany and Sweden.” These are the results of our pilot program, which includes AI tutors and has been running in 171 public schools for just over a year. It was evaluated by PISA for Schools in June of this year. Since then, it has already expanded to more than 1,000 schools, and within 18 months, it will be in every public school in our country. In a few years, El Salvador will inspire the world. Security was just the beginning 🇸🇻


The highly promising results from El Salvador’s first PISA for Schools assessment show what education reform can achieve when student learning is placed at the center—and change reaches the classroom. What is at stake is more than a score. It is a generation’s future and its prospects in the labor market. These preliminary findings, drawn from a group of schools, point to a path worth pursuing. The World Bank Group is proud to support El Salvador’s efforts to strengthen education and expand opportunities for generations to come. More on the assessment:




Mayor Zohran Mamdani and other city officials announced a sweeping new policy Wednesday imposing a one-year ban on student use of generative artificial intelligence in New York City public schools from 2-K through 8th grade, while limiting screen time for younger students and launching AI literacy lessons for high schoolers. More:



Musk is dangerous

  DogeDesigner @cb_doge https://x.com/cb_doge/status/2097502633615565143?s=20 While presenting his Musk documentary, Alex Gibney said Elon M...