RationalPolitics
Elon Musk@elonmusk Jun 23 Anyone who claims that their political party does no wrong and the other party does no right is either a liar, a fool or both.
Wednesday, September 9, 2026
Musk is dangerous
Tuesday, September 8, 2026
Patel hotels
https://x.com/BrianRoemmele/status/2097124496759271739?s=20
2 of 2 By the late 1990s the New York Times was asking, only half-jokingly, whether there was a “Patel Motel Cartel.” There wasn’t an organization with a charter. There was a repeated playbook, kinship credit, and a trade association — AAHOA, founded in 1989 after Indian owners ran into insurance and lending discrimination — that later professionalized the whole niche. Today those properties support millions of jobs and contribute hundreds of billions of dollars to U.S. GDP. The roadside inn became a franchise Hampton, a Courtyard, sometimes a Hilton. The surname on the loan documents often stayed the same. What Dhandho actually is Dhandho is not “take big risks.” It is the opposite. It is the hunt for investments where the upside is large and the downside is mathematically small. Risk, in this language, is the chance of permanent capital loss. Uncertainty is merely fog about the future. Markets hate fog. They mark down assets when the story is ugly even if bankruptcy is unlikely. A Dhandho buyer wants high uncertainty and low risk: a motel nobody wanted to talk about, in a year everyone thought hospitality was finished, financed mostly with other people’s money, operated by people who had already accepted a life with no weekends. If the occupancy numbers worked even modestly, the return on the family’s tiny equity was enormous. If they didn’t, the loss was a few thousand dollars and a move. Serial bets with that payoff are how a community with almost no starting capital ends up owning half an industry. The five rules that drop out of the motel story are blunt: 1. Buy existing businesses in simple industries. Dhandho practitioners do not fund startups. They prefer slow, unglamorous trades — roadside lodging, bricks, commodities — where the variables are known and the customer already exists. 2. Seek distress. The best time to buy is during a panic. Distressed assets are how you purchase a margin of safety. The Patels did not wait for a “healthy” motel market. They waited for sellers who needed the money more than they needed the building. 3. Exploit a structural spread. The Patels’ spread was labor. Family work drove costs below what corporate operators could match. In markets, the equivalent is any inefficiency that pays you a spread before you need to be a genius. 4. Separate risk from uncertainty. A cloudy forecast is not the same thing as a high chance of ruin. When the two get confused, prices fall. That is the opening. 5. Bet heavily when the odds are overwhelming — and almost never otherwise. Dhandho investors make few moves. When downside is near zero and upside is large, they put real capital to work. They do not drip money into mediocre ideas to stay busy. The part people miss The motel empire looks, from the highway, like a story about immigrants and grit. It is that. It is also a demonstration that immense wealth does not require heroic risk-taking. It requires an obsessive habit of subtracting risk before the first dollar goes out. Live where you work and housing expense disappears. Staff the desk with family and payroll disappears. Buy when the seller is desperate and purchase price compresses. Finance most of the asset and equity at risk shrinks. Reinvest the cash and the next down payment is earned, not borrowed from hope. Heads, a chain of properties. Tails, a small check you can earn back. That is why so many of the signs still belong to Mr. Patel. Not because Gujaratis discovered a hidden love of thin towels and ice machines. Because a group of people with almost no capital found a business where the worst case was survivable and the best case compounded for fifty years. The neon was never the point. The payoff table was.
Education in El Salvador vs New York
https://x.com/nayibbukele/status/2096255497410118075?s=20
Musk is dangerous
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