2 ways to end Minnesota crisis

 

Cynical Publius

@CynicalPublius

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Jan 24

Let me break this down in as basic a manner as I can: 1. America elects a President that the Democrat/Media Complex does not like. 2. Democrats engage in violent riots over whatever their otherwise perfectly legal cause du jour might be. 3. "See? The fact that this guy is President is causing riots. If you vote for us this abnormal rioting that the President is causing will stop." 4. Democrats win next election. Riots stop. ________________________ This is no different than the Mafia threatening to burn down a store unless the owner pays protection money. IT IS EXTORTION. When will America realize what the Democrat's evil game is and send them to where they belong?

https://x.com/mattvanswol/status/2015234487429353793

There's only 2 ways out of the crisis in Minnesota...

We are all thinking it, so I'll come out and say it...

I really don't see the situation in Minnesota deescalating anytime soon, if ever.

They have created intelligence gathering groups.

They have set up secure comms networks.

They are well funded.

...and there are no lines they will not cross.

They are biting fingers off federal agents.

They are bringing weapons to protests.

They are hitting agents with their cars.

They are vandalizing federal property.

They are assaulting journalists.

They are threatening murder.

There are only two routes this can go now, and neither is ideal.

Route #1) Immigration Enforcement Ends

In this scenario, the federal government backs off its immigration enforcement in the state of Minnesota.

ICE and Border Patrol all go home.

And if that happens... there is now an extremely dangerous lesson other states will take from it:

“If you make enforcement painful enough, it stops.”

That’s the incentive structure nobody wants to say out loud.

You teach every other activist network in the Blue states around the country:

a) Build a permanent “scanner” crew to track agents.

Mobilize crowds fast.

b) Keep the confrontation boiling.

c) Push the conflict right up to the edge of tragedy and hope a federal agent messes up or hope violence occurs, because that’s where the cameras come out

So if Route #1 happens, the question becomes:

"What stops the next state from trying to recreate the same chaos on purpose?"

Federal immigration enforcement would be over, the blue states can continue importing illegal aliens, giving them free money, voter status... all of it.

Once you teach the country that the way to end enforcement is to turn it into a public safety crisis...

...you get a nationwide race to the bottom for the worst possible violence you can catch on camera

Route #2) Immigration Enforcement Increases

In this scenario, the federal government understands that Scenario #1 is the end of democracy as we know it and letting them win because they cause chaos will teach other blue states the same.

They ratchet up the consequences, they increase the presence of more agents, the military, the deterrence is severe and quick. Arrests happen immediately and punishments for crimes against federal agents are enforced.

They make it crystal clear, in real time, that if you assault a federal agent, you are not getting a slap on the wrist and a news interview... we are sending you to prison, and you are getting made into an example. The punishment has to be immediate. Deterrence does not work with the consequences are theoretical and can be dropped by a judge who agrees with your politics.

Deterrence works when consequences are immediate, predictable, and boring. So in practice, here's what scenario #2 looks like...

Federal enforcement continues, but the environment changes.

a) The operations become tighter, the people sent to the operations become even larger, perimeters are set earlier by even more agents.

Protestors get boxed out.

Crowds don’t get to swarm a dangerous federal immigration enforcement scene because they want to protest... this keeps everyone safe and the operation goes off quickly and successfully.

b) They organizers and repeat offenders are isolated. We all know who these people are.

The people who show up to “monitor,” but somehow always end up at the exact address before anyone else... that's not organic.

They are the ones who treat every operation like it’s their personal live-action video game.

It means finding out:

• The people running the comms.
• The people coordinating scanners.
• The people funding logistics.
• The people directing crowds into conflict points.

If they do something illegal, throw them jail, one by one.

3) Make the consequences FAST This is heart of Route #2... deterrence has to work.

Assault on an agent. Using a car as a weapon. Vandalizing federal property. Threatening people. Attacking journalists.

These things turn into arrests that are insanely efficient, with prosecutors standing right behind them. Literally a mentality of: "You did it, it's on camera. You're done."

...but Route #2 can also horribly wrong, and I think we all know it

If deterrence isn't immediate. If there are no reinforcements. If the "ICE WATCH" networks aren't dismantled... I see a lot of violence ahead from people who believe they are living under an occupation, fighting a revolution.

The part that scares me, is that Route #2 only works if the state agrees that federal agents are... well, real. And right now, a big chunk of people in Minnesota do not believe that.

They believe they’re living under an occupation.

They believe they’re the resistance.

They believe the rules are fake and the institutions are captured.

And once this sentiment hardens, it is going to spread.

The moment a crowd decides they’re not protesting anymore, but rather they’re fighting a revolution, you’re dealing with people who think anything is justified.

And that’s when this stops being about immigration enforcement...

The entire country is at stake, and we need to answer just one, single, simple question:

Are we still a country where laws decide what happens…

…or a country where the angriest mob wins?

2:25 AM · Jan 25, 2026

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190.4K

Views

TameraLynn Stewart, #P3 & PWU

@Impact2HEAL

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4h

Matt, I think there is a 3rd option & it allows both state & fed to save face, protect millions of innocent caught in the middle for living near, deter this from continuing, & bring down the temp… City/County/State gov in MN agree to hold & hand over those with felonies directly to DHS & DOJ/DHS/ICE agrees to leave. Ultimate goal of safety achieved from all angles, federal overreach ends, state/city under-reach ends. All sides agree to re-eval in a month.